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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.

He was sentenced to 12 years in prison for selling more than 80 classified documents to pay off gambling debts. Today, the Ministry of National Security announced two anti-espionage cases: when experts in the core scientific research field of a university went abroad for face-to-face signing, visa officials kept asking about the research progress and the source of project funds, which aroused the experts' vigilance and immediately reported to the school and state security organs. During the academic conference, the experts met with people from abroad, and the other side hoped to carry out "deep cooperation" by providing academic convenience as bait. In the end, the experts calmly responded and reported to the school as soon as they returned to China, which not only protected their personal safety but also effectively safeguarded the core secret safety. Li Moumou, the core secret-related personnel of an institution, is addicted to online gambling and owes huge gambling debts. In order to repay the debt, Li took the initiative to hook up with overseas spy intelligence agencies, took photos of more than 80 classified documents and sent them to the other party, collecting spy funds of more than 100,000 yuan. The state security organs detected the case in time, and Li was sentenced to 12 years in prison for espionage. There are obvious loopholes in the anti-espionage security work of Li's unit, and three responsible personnel have been punished by party discipline and government affairs. (CCTV)On the occasion of Yin Xiyue's speech, the increase of KOSPI index in South Korea narrowed to 0.3%, and it rose by 1.1% earlier.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.

Yin Xiyue denied that emergency martial law was a civil strife. South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech today (December 12), denying that "emergency martial law" was a "civil strife". He once again criticized the opposition party for enslaving Congress and abusing the power to impeach public officials. Yin Xiyue said that both impeachment and investigation will face it head-on.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).Market news: South Korean prosecutors summoned the Minister of Health to participate in the investigation.